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UBS

June 19, 2026

USDCHF Yet To Find A Clear Top

FX StrategyFXOther

The USDCHF pair is currently trading near recent highs, supported by a hawkish Fed, despite fading tailwinds from global risks. UBS expects the pair to test 0.82 before potentially trending lower as Fed policy expectations adjust.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.USDCHF is expected to remain near the upper end of its recent range in the short term before gradually moving lower.
  • 2.The firm prefers USD over CHF due to the dollar's nearly 4% yield advantage.

Table of Contents

  • USDCHF testing recent highs
  • Downside triggers have yet to emerge
  • Investment considerations:
  • Appendix

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Authors

Constantin BolzClémence Dumoncel

Securities

USDCHF

Themes

Monetary Policy divergenceCarry trade funding

Regions

GlobalUnited StatesSwitzerland

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