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UBS

July 1, 2026

Investment Strategy Insights

Market ReportCommoditiesRates CreditRates Govt BondsEnergy

UBS advises investors to secure high-quality bond yields amid geopolitical uncertainty and moderating central bank rate expectations. The firm expects a shift in policy timing for the ECB and a patient stance from the Federal Reserve.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Middle East tensions have caused bond yields to fall, supporting a strategic preference for locking in high-quality yields.
  • 2.The ECB is expected to delay the next rate hike to September, with policy remaining data-dependent.
  • 3.The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain a 'wait-and-see' approach with rate cuts unlikely until 2027.

Table of Contents

  • Middle East shifts don’t derail the case for bonds
  • Policy expectations in the Eurozone: On the move
  • What about the US outlook?
  • What does this mean for bond investors?
  • Look beyond bonds too
  • Global asset class preferences definitions
  • Appendix

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