UBS
July 1, 2026
Daily Europe
Daily UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesRates Govt BondsConsumer DiscretionaryIndustrials
The European Central Bank is expected to adopt a more measured approach to interest rate hikes as energy prices decline and recent inflation data shows cooling. UBS favors quality fixed income and remains positive on Japanese equities.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Recent declines in energy prices and national inflation data from Germany and France suggest the ECB will likely maintain a moderate approach to further interest rate hikes.
- 2.UBS maintains an 'Attractive' rating on Japanese equities, noting strong long-term inflows from European investors.
Table of Contents
- ECB caution on inflation does not mean aggressive hiking
- Caught our attention
- US job openings rise in May
- Market update
- Global asset class preferences definitions
- Appendix
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Authors
Mark HaefeleChristopher SwannElena CecamoreDean TurnerDaisy TsengThemis Themistocleous
Securities
S&P 500STOXX 600Nikkei 2252-year German Bund
Themes
ECB Policy NormalizationEnergy Price DeflationJapanese Equity Reform
Regions
EuropeAsia PacificGermanyFranceJapan
