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UBS

July 1, 2026

Daily Europe

Daily UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesRates Govt BondsConsumer DiscretionaryIndustrials

The European Central Bank is expected to adopt a more measured approach to interest rate hikes as energy prices decline and recent inflation data shows cooling. UBS favors quality fixed income and remains positive on Japanese equities.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Recent declines in energy prices and national inflation data from Germany and France suggest the ECB will likely maintain a moderate approach to further interest rate hikes.
  • 2.UBS maintains an 'Attractive' rating on Japanese equities, noting strong long-term inflows from European investors.

Table of Contents

  • ECB caution on inflation does not mean aggressive hiking
  • Caught our attention
  • US job openings rise in May
  • Market update
  • Global asset class preferences definitions
  • Appendix

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Authors

Mark HaefeleChristopher SwannElena CecamoreDean TurnerDaisy TsengThemis Themistocleous

Securities

S&P 500STOXX 600Nikkei 2252-year German Bund

Themes

ECB Policy NormalizationEnergy Price DeflationJapanese Equity Reform

Regions

EuropeAsia PacificGermanyFranceJapan