UBS expects the GBPCHF to appreciate as high carry and improved UK political sentiment outweigh safe-haven demand for the Swiss franc. The pair remains a preferred carry trade given the persistent yield differential.
Key Takeaways
- 1.GBPCHF is expected to trend higher due to high carry and receding UK political risks.
- 2.Swiss franc demand is fading following the Iran conflict, and it remains a key funding currency.
Table of Contents
- GBPCHF: Sterling rebound meets fading CHF demand
- GBP downside limited, with rebound potential
- Swiss franc demand should ebb post-Iran conflict
- CIO Forecast- GBPCHF
- GBPCHF likely to move higher from here
- Investment Considerations
- Heavy short positioning has already prevented the pound from falling further
- Risk information
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Authors
Constantin BolzClémence Dumoncel
Securities
GBPCHF
Themes
Geopolitical riskCarry Trade
Regions
EuropeGlobalUnited KingdomSwitzerland
