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May 25, 2026

EURSEK Solid Fundamentals

FX StrategyFXMacro Economic IndicatorsOther

UBS maintains a constructive medium-term view on the SEK, projecting EURSEK to decline to 10.30 by June 2027. Despite near-term pressure from low yields, Sweden's solid fundamentals and energy independence support a stronger krona.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.EURSEK is currently under pressure due to a low-yield environment and market expectations for rate hikes by other European central banks.
  • 2.UBS maintains a constructive medium-term outlook for the SEK, citing Sweden's resilient risk sentiment, solid domestic growth, and energy independence.
  • 3.Forecasts for EURSEK have been revised upward, with 10.60 now expected for September 2026 and 10.30 for June 2027.

Table of Contents

  • Solid fundamentals support the krona
  • The global environment remains supportive
  • Investment prospects
  • Global Asset Class Preference Attractive
  • Global asset class preferences definitions
  • Appendix

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Authors

Clémence DumoncelConstantin Bolz

Securities

EURSEK

Themes

Monetary Policy DivergenceGeopolitical Risk impact on FXEnergy Independence and Resilience

Regions

EuropeSwedenIran