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UBS

July 2, 2026

Daily US

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UBS expects the Federal Reserve to hold interest rates steady as wage-driven inflation concerns subside. Meanwhile, the transition of the USMCA trade pact to annual reviews introduces moderate near-term economic uncertainty.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The Fed is likely to maintain steady interest rates in the near term as wage-driven inflation pressures ease.
  • 2.The USMCA trade pact will undergo annual reviews rather than renewal, creating uncertainty for North American markets.

Table of Contents

  • From the studio
  • Thought of the day
  • Caught our attention
  • Market update

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