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TS Lombard

July 14, 2026

The Fundamental Guide To Emerging Markets

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This report provides a fundamental analysis of short- and long-term growth drivers for China, Taiwan, South Korea, Brazil, India, and Mexico. It offers policy forecasts and asset allocation guidance based on current macro-economic developments.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.China is shifting policy to stabilize growth, focusing on fiscal support and high-tech manufacturing, while battling structural disinflation.
  • 2.AI demand is driving semiconductor-linked emerging markets like Taiwan and South Korea, though both face energy and supply-side constraints.
  • 3.India faces macro headwinds from oil prices and food inflation, forcing a tighter monetary outlook despite growth concerns.

Table of Contents

  • Growth drivers
  • Relative score for short-term growth
  • Relative score for long-term growth
  • China
  • Taiwan
  • South Korea
  • Brazil
  • India
  • Mexico
  • Forecasts
  • EM Asset Allocation
  • Central Bank Watch
  • Key points – July 2026

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Authors

Rory GreenElizabeth JohnsonShumita DeveshwarGrace Fan

Themes

AI and Tech CapexFiscal Reform and ConsolidationGeopolitical Trade Retaliation

Regions

Asia PacificLatin AmericaChinaTaiwanSouth Korea