Weekly Economic Perspectives

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The global economy shows sharp regional divergences: US consumer stress is rising despite record wealth, Canada faces a potential recession after flat Q1 growth, while Australia exhibits strong investment momentum.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The US 'K-shaped economy' is intensifying; while aggregate wealth is record-high, lower-income segments face severe stress and record auto loan delinquencies.
  • 2.Canada's Q1 GDP growth was essentially flat at -0.1%, undershooting expectations and highlighting persistent recession risks.
  • 3.Australia's economic outlook for Q1 is buoyed by a significant 6.5% jump in private capital expenditure, particularly in data centers.

Table of Contents

  • United States: K-Shaped to the Max!
  • Canada: Another Weak GDP Report
  • Australia: Strong Q1 on The Cards
  • Week in Review
  • Important Risk Discussion
  • Intellectual Property Information

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Authors

Simona MocutaAmy LeKrishna Bhimavarapu

Securities

Core PCE InflationSPX

Themes

K-Shaped Recovery / Economic DivergenceConsumer Credit DeteriorationCentral Bank Policy Pause

Regions

North AmericaAsia PacificEuropeUnited StatesCanadaAustralia