Weekly Economic Perspectives

Weekly UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsCommoditiesEnergyReal Estate

Global inflation remains stubbornly high with significant prints in the US and Japan, prompting increased hawkishness from central banks despite mixed underlying economic signals.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.US inflation rose to 3.8% y/y in April, driven by energy and shelter, though analysts suspect 'data oddities' may make the print an outlier.
  • 2.Bank of Japan is highly likely to hike rates in June following a 4.9% y/y surge in the Corporate Goods Price Index (CGPI), the highest in 12 years.
  • 3.UK GDP growth outperformed in Q1 at 0.6% q/q, but the Bank of England is expected to remain cautious due to volatile underlying demand.

Table of Contents

  • US: Hotter Inflation Prints with Lots of Data Oddities
  • UK: BoE Unmoved by Robust GDP Surge
  • Japan: June Hike Is a Done Deal
  • Week in Review
  • Spotlight on Next Week
  • Contact

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Authors

Simona MocutaAmy LeKrishna Bhimavarapu

Securities

NaphthaZ

Themes

Noise vs. Signal in Inflation DataGeopolitical Impact on Energy

Regions

North AmericaUKAsia PacificUnited StatesUnited KingdomJapan