Mind on the Market

Weekly UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsCommoditiesInformation TechnologyEnergy

While equity duration matters, global market leadership is currently determined by earnings durability, with the U.S. and tech-heavy emerging markets outperforming due to resilient cash flows.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.U.S. equity leadership is being driven by earnings durability rather than just duration sensitivity, allowing it to outperform other regions post-war.
  • 2.Emerging Markets excluding China are seeing massive earnings growth, specifically a 192% year-over-year increase in the IT sector driven by semiconductors.
  • 3.Regional markets exhibit distinct 'equity duration' profiles, with the U.S. having the highest duration and the UK having the lowest.

Table of Contents

  • Chart of the Week
  • Weekly Highlights
  • Equity Duration Matters, but Earnings Decide
  • About State Street Investment Management
  • Important Risk Information

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Authors

Christine NortonDane Smith

Securities

Samsung2330.TWSK HynixMSCI Emerging Markets ex-China IndexKOSPI

Themes

Equity Duration and Interest Rate SensitivitySemiconductor-Led Earnings GrowthRegional Divergence Post-War

Regions

North AmericaEuropeAsia PacificUnited StatesChinaJapan