This report details current market-implied policy rate expectations for the Riksbank, Norges Bank, and G10 central banks as of June 2, 2026.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Market pricing for the Riksbank suggests a steady increase in the policy rate from 1.75% to 2.02% by the end of 2026.
- 2.Norges Bank market pricing is higher than both its own March projections and SEB's forecasts, with the market pricing a 4.53% rate by December 2026.
- 3.RBNZ market pricing is currently flagged as unreliable due to high volatility and potential liquidity issues during European trading hours.
Table of Contents
- The Riksbank:
- Norges Bank:
- ECB:
- G10, summary:
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Authors
Amanda Sundström
Securities
Riksbank Policy RateNorges Bank Key RateECB Policy Rate
Themes
Central Bank HawkishnessMarket Pricing Volatility
Regions
EuropeNorth AmericaAsia PacificSwedenNorwayUnited States