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Scotiabank

July 14, 2026

Daily FX Update

Daily UpdateCommoditiesFXRates Govt BondsEnergy

The USD is trading broadly lower as commodity-linked currencies benefit from rising energy prices. Markets are awaiting US CPI data, which may temper expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Commodity-linked currencies are outperforming against a broadly soft USD, driven by rising crude oil prices amidst geopolitical tensions in the Gulf.
  • 2.Market participants are cautious ahead of US CPI data, with expectations that soft inflation prints may challenge aggressive Fed rate hike pricing.

Table of Contents

  • Overview
  • USDCAD Vs. Estimated Fair Value
  • Commodity FX Benefits from Higher Energy Prices
  • USDCAD
  • USDCAD short-term technicals
  • EURUSD
  • EURUSD short-term technicals
  • GBPUSD
  • GBPUSD short-term technicals
  • USDJPY
  • TODAY'S CALENDAR

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Authors

Shaun OsborneEric Theoret

Securities

USDJPYUSDCADEURUSDGBPUSD

Themes

Commodity currency outperformanceFed rate hike repricingGeopolitical risk in the Gulf

Regions

GlobalMiddle EastUnited StatesCanadaGermany