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Scotiabank

July 14, 2026

US Inflation Grinds To A Halt

Daily UpdateEquitiesFXMacro Economic IndicatorsEnergyOther

June US inflation data came in lower than expected, with core CPI showing no growth. This has led to a market rally and a reduction in Fed rate hike expectations.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.US inflation in June came in significantly below expectations, with core CPI flat and headline CPI falling 0.4%.
  • 2.Market reaction included a rally in Treasury yields and a softening in Fed hike pricing for the July FOMC.

Table of Contents

  • US Inflation Grinds To A Halt

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Authors

Derek Holt

Securities

US 2-Year Treasury

Themes

Inflationary coolingMonetary policy outlook

Regions

North AmericaUnited States