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Scotiabank

May 13, 2026

Daily FX Update

FX StrategyFXRates Govt BondsCommoditiesEnergyFinancials

The USD rose as geopolitical tensions regarding Iran triggered a shift toward risk-off sentiment, weighing on global stocks and boosting energy prices. The GBP suffered from domestic political concerns while the CAD remained relatively stable due to higher crude prices.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The USD is strengthening globally due to heightened risk aversion following President Trump's comments on the fragility of the Iran ceasefire.
  • 2.The British Pound is underperforming core majors as UK Gilts sell off significantly amid local political uncertainty and leadership questions.
  • 3.The Canadian Dollar is showing relative resilience compared to peers, supported by a 3% rise in crude oil prices despite the broader USD strength.

Table of Contents

  • Analyst Team
  • Overview
  • USD Firmer on Weak Risk Mood
  • USDCAD (1.3703)
  • USDCAD short-term technicals
  • EURUSD (1.1745)
  • EURUSD short-term technicals
  • GBPUSD (1.3540)
  • GBPUSD short-term technicals
  • USDJPY (157.55)
  • TODAY'S CALENDAR

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Authors

Shaun OsborneEric Theoret

Securities

USDCADEURUSDGBPUSDUSDJPYUK GiltsCrude OilDXYVIX

Themes

Geopolitical Risk (Middle East)Inflationary PressuresPolitical Instability (UK)

Regions

North AmericaEuropeUKUnited StatesCanadaUnited Kingdom