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Rabobank

July 3, 2026

Independence Week

Daily UpdateEquitiesFXRates Govt BondsFinancialsInformation Technology

This report covers global market developments, highlighting concerns over central bank independence in the US and the ECB's strategy to address interest income losses via reserve requirements.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Central bank independence remains a key focus following recent US Supreme Court rulings and discussions at the ECB's Sintra conference.
  • 2.The ECB is considering increasing minimum reserve requirements for banks, primarily as a cost-saving measure rather than a monetary policy tool.
  • 3.US labor market data for June showed weakness, with non-farm payroll growth missing expectations and declining participation rates.

Table of Contents

  • Market comment
  • Day ahead

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