Rabobank
June 29, 2026
Str-eye-ke For A Str-eye-ke
Daily UpdateEquitiesMacro Economic IndicatorsCommoditiesEnergyIndustrials
Geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and supply-chain pressures from potential US import tariffs are driving shipping costs to multi-year highs. These factors create inflationary risks that may lead to a more hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, involving US and Iranian strikes, threaten global shipping and fuel supply chains.
- 2.Shipping costs are hitting two-year highs due to geopolitical instability, stockpiling ahead of potential US import tariffs, and Russian refinery outages.
- 3.The economic outlook remains volatile as markets monitor central bank signals from Sintra, potential US rate hikes, and EU-China trade negotiations.
Table of Contents
- Market comment
- Week ahead
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Authors
Michael Every
Themes
Geopolitical InstabilityGlobal Trade ProtectionismMonetary Policy Uncertainty
Regions
GlobalMiddle EastEuropeUnited StatesIranChina
