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Rabobank

June 29, 2026

Str-eye-ke For A Str-eye-ke

Daily UpdateEquitiesMacro Economic IndicatorsCommoditiesEnergyIndustrials

Geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and supply-chain pressures from potential US import tariffs are driving shipping costs to multi-year highs. These factors create inflationary risks that may lead to a more hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, involving US and Iranian strikes, threaten global shipping and fuel supply chains.
  • 2.Shipping costs are hitting two-year highs due to geopolitical instability, stockpiling ahead of potential US import tariffs, and Russian refinery outages.
  • 3.The economic outlook remains volatile as markets monitor central bank signals from Sintra, potential US rate hikes, and EU-China trade negotiations.

Table of Contents

  • Market comment
  • Week ahead

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