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MUFG

July 8, 2026

Middle East Daily

Daily UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesMacro Economic IndicatorsEnergyFinancials

The report highlights a significant escalation in Middle East geopolitical tensions following US strikes on Iran, causing a spike in oil prices. Meanwhile, Iraq is normalizing oil exports despite regional volatility, and Egypt reports its weakest non-oil PMI reading in years.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have escalated significantly following US airstrikes on Iran, leading to a surge in oil prices.
  • 2.Iraq has restored oil output at three major southern fields as export bottlenecks ease in the Strait of Hormuz.
  • 3.Egypt's non-oil private sector PMI declined to 46.0 in June, the lowest level since early 2023, reflecting a challenging operating environment.

Table of Contents

  • COMMODITIES / ENERGY
  • IRAQ OIL EXPORTS ('000 B/D)
  • MIDDLE EAST – CREDIT TRADING
  • MIDDLE EAST – MACRO / MARKETS
  • CALENDAR – DATA / EVENTS / MEETINGS

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Authors

Soojin Kim

Securities

Brent CrudeWTI Crude

Themes

Energy Supply SecurityGeopolitical EscalationMonetary Policy Outlook

Regions

Middle EastAsia PacificIraqIranEgypt