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MUFG

May 25, 2026

JPY Weekly

Weekly UpdateFXRates Govt BondsMacro Economic IndicatorsOther

The USD/JPY pair is testing the 160 level as Japan considers a JPY 3 trillion supplementary budget and the US transitions to a new Fed Chair, Kevin Warsh, amid global inflation concerns.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.USD/JPY is facing upward pressure toward the 160 level due to Japanese fiscal concerns and rising long-term yields.
  • 2.The Japanese government is considering a JPY 3 trillion supplementary budget, which has put upward pressure on JGB yields.
  • 3.US monetary policy remains volatile as Kevin Warsh takes over as Fed Chair amid toned-down rate cut demands from President Trump.

Table of Contents

  • Week in review
  • President Trump tones down calls for rate cuts
  • Fiscal concerns in focus as supplementary budget considered
  • Treasury Secretary Bessent urges BOJ rate hikes
  • It all comes down to Governor Ueda

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Authors

Teppei Ino

Securities

USDJPYJGBUSTGBP

Themes

Fiscal-Monetary Policy Tug-of-WarGlobal Central Bank Leadership Transitions

Regions

Asia PacificNorth AmericaEuropeJapanUnited StatesUnited Kingdom