The US dollar faces depreciation pressure following a weaker-than-expected CPI print that reduced expectations for imminent Fed hikes. Meanwhile, the Bank of Canada remains cautious, keeping the CAD outlook modest despite energy price support.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Weaker-than-expected US CPI data has reduced the near-term probability of a Fed rate hike.
- 2.Fed Chair Warsh's firm communication style and focus on the 2% inflation mandate are curbing expectations for dollar weakness despite lower CPI.
- 3.The Canadian Dollar (CAD) faces downside risks as the Bank of Canada (BoC) is expected to remain patient given mixed macro data, despite energy price support.
Table of Contents
- US dollar's key pillar of support is weakened
- USD: Pressure eases notably on the Fed to hike
- CAD: BoC on hold with inflation risks more contained
- KEY RELEASES AND EVENTS
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Authors
Derek Halpenny
Securities
Brent Crude OilEUR/USDUSD/CAD
Themes
Central Bank Policy DivergenceInflation Disinflation
Regions
North AmericaUnited StatesCanada
