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MUFG

July 15, 2026

Asia FX Talk

Weekly UpdateFXMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsEnergyInformation Technology

US inflation data surprised to the downside in June, prompting a reduction in Federal Reserve rate hike expectations. Consequently, Asia FX remains sensitive to safe-haven demand, energy prices, and upcoming Chinese GDP data.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Softer-than-expected US inflation data has reduced upside risks to US yields, leading markets to unwind July rate hike pricing.
  • 2.Asia's net energy importers face headwinds from rising oil prices and geopolitical risks, particularly the INR and THB.

Table of Contents

  • Market Highlights
  • Indicative Rates 14-Jul-2026
  • Disclaimer

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Authors

Lloyd Chan

Securities

USDJPYUS 2-year Yield

Themes

Central Bank PolicyGeopolitical RiskInflation Dynamics

Regions

Asia PacificMiddle EastUnited StatesChinaSingapore