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MUFG

July 14, 2026

FX Daily Snapshot

Daily UpdateCommoditiesFXRates Govt BondsEnergy

The US dollar remains strong as market participants price in higher inflation risks and increased Fed rate hikes amid Middle East instability. Simultaneously, Japanese authorities are actively seeking to shift domestic savings toward JGBs.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The US dollar is gaining support from higher energy prices and expectations of more aggressive Fed rate hikes.
  • 2.Middle East tensions, specifically US-Iran conflict regarding the Strait of Hormuz, are adding to inflation risk and energy supply concerns.
  • 3.Japanese officials are verbally intervening to encourage domestic investors to allocate more capital toward JGBs and yen-denominated assets.

Table of Contents

  • USD: Hawkish Fed comments & higher energy prices providing tailwind
  • JGBs HAVE OUTPERFORMED SINCE LATE LAST WEEK
  • JPY: Further verbal support indicating potential shift in domestic savings
  • KEY RELEASES AND EVENTS

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Authors

Lee Hardman

Securities

Japanese Government BondsBrent CrudeUSD

Themes

Domestic asset repatriation in JapanGeopolitical instability in the Middle EastHawkish monetary policy

Regions

Middle EastUnited StatesJapanIran