Morgan Stanley
June 23, 2026
Humanoids The Tide is Rising Lifting 2026 Forecast
Sector ReportEquitiesIndustrials
Morgan Stanley increases China humanoid shipment forecasts for 2026 based on faster-than-expected commercial verification and supply chain readiness. They highlight key beneficiaries in the value chain like Leaderdrive.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Raised 2026 China humanoid shipment forecast to 50k units, up from 28k.
- 2.Commercialization is accelerating in China with government and SOE support.
- 3.Leaderdrive is a preferred pick due to market-leading position in harmonic reducers.
Table of Contents
- Humanoids: The Tide is Rising, Lifting 2026 Forecast
- Our Latest Humanoid Volume Forecast
- China Humanoid Market Forecast
- China Humanoid Value Chain
- Leaderdrive (688017.SS), Raising PT to Rmb464; Reiterate OW
- Leaderdrive: Financial Summary
- Valuation Methodology and Risks
- Disclosure Section
- Analyst Certification
- Global Research Conflict Management Policy
- Important Regulatory Disclosures on Subject Companies
- STOCK RATINGS
- Global Stock Ratings Distribution
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Authors
Sheng ZhongCarlos ChaiChelsea Wang
Securities
688017-CN601100.SS
Themes
Humanoid Robotics CommercializationSupply Chain Expansion
Regions
Asia PacificChina
