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Morgan Stanley

June 15, 2026

US Equity Strategy Weekly Warm-up

Weekly UpdateEquitiesConsumer DiscretionaryIndustrials

The report attributes the current equity market correction to peak earnings revisions and liquidity, but maintains conviction in the bull market as leadership broadens into under-owned cyclical sectors.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Recent equity market correction is driven by the peak rate of change in earnings revisions breadth and tightening liquidity.
  • 2.Broadening market leadership is expected into under-owned cyclical groups like Consumer Discretionary Goods, Transports, and Regional Banks.
  • 3.OBBBA legislation provides tailwinds for Free Cash Flow through bonus depreciation and R&D expensing, aiding market broadening.

Table of Contents

  • Digesting the Peak Rate of Change
  • OBBBA Update: Benefits Still Ahead, 2026 FCF Could Surprise
  • Cash Tax Rates
  • Fresh Money Buy List
  • Weekly Charts to Watch

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Authors

Michael J WilsonAndrew B PaukerMichelle M. WeaverDiane DingNicholas Lentini

Securities

ANZNGM

Themes

Earnings Revisions BreadthLiquidity TighteningMarket Broadening

Regions

North AmericaUnited States