Morgan Stanley
May 12, 2026
AI Adoption and the Future of Work: Banks, Tech and Professional Services
Macro ThematicMacro Economic IndicatorsEquitiesFinancialsInformation Technology
Morgan Stanley's AlphaWise survey across Banking, Tech, and Professional Services sectors reveals a 5% net job loss and a 9.6% productivity gain attributed to AI over the past 12 months. Junior roles are most impacted by displacement, though many are being retrained to handle AI-augmented workflows.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Wave 2 survey sectors (Banks, Software, Hardware, Semis, Prof. Services) reported an average net job loss of 5% over the past 12 months.
- 2.AI is driving high single-digit to low double-digit productivity increases, averaging 9.6% for Wave 2 companies.
- 3.Early-career positions (2-10 years' experience) appear most at risk of elimination, though they are also the most likely to be retrained.
Table of Contents
- Key Takeaways
- Social Shifts
- Six Key Charts
- Summary Tables
- AlphaWise Survey Details
- The Story in Pictures
- Global Overview
- AI Impact on Jobs
- AI Impact on Productivity
- Challenges to AI Adoption
- Responsible AI
- US – Key Takeaways
- Europe – Key Takeaways
- Asia – Key Takeaways
- Sample Profile
- Disclosure Section
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Authors
Stephen C ByrdRachel Fletcher, Ph.D.Michelle M. Weaver
Securities
SPX
Themes
AI-driven Workforce ReshapingProductivity and Efficiency DiffusionEarly-Career Employment VulnerabilityHuman-in-the-Loop AI Strategy
Regions
North AmericaEuropeAsia PacificUnited StatesUnited KingdomGermany
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