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Morgan Stanley

May 12, 2026

AI Adoption and the Future of Work: Banks, Tech and Professional Services

Macro ThematicMacro Economic IndicatorsEquitiesFinancialsInformation Technology

Morgan Stanley's AlphaWise survey across Banking, Tech, and Professional Services sectors reveals a 5% net job loss and a 9.6% productivity gain attributed to AI over the past 12 months. Junior roles are most impacted by displacement, though many are being retrained to handle AI-augmented workflows.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Wave 2 survey sectors (Banks, Software, Hardware, Semis, Prof. Services) reported an average net job loss of 5% over the past 12 months.
  • 2.AI is driving high single-digit to low double-digit productivity increases, averaging 9.6% for Wave 2 companies.
  • 3.Early-career positions (2-10 years' experience) appear most at risk of elimination, though they are also the most likely to be retrained.

Table of Contents

  • Key Takeaways
  • Social Shifts
  • Six Key Charts
  • Summary Tables
  • AlphaWise Survey Details
  • The Story in Pictures
  • Global Overview
  • AI Impact on Jobs
  • AI Impact on Productivity
  • Challenges to AI Adoption
  • Responsible AI
  • US – Key Takeaways
  • Europe – Key Takeaways
  • Asia – Key Takeaways
  • Sample Profile
  • Disclosure Section

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Authors

Stephen C ByrdRachel Fletcher, Ph.D.Michelle M. Weaver

Securities

SPX

Themes

AI-driven Workforce ReshapingProductivity and Efficiency DiffusionEarly-Career Employment VulnerabilityHuman-in-the-Loop AI Strategy

Regions

North AmericaEuropeAsia PacificUnited StatesUnited KingdomGermany