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Mizuho Securities

July 9, 2026

Reasons Behind the Takaichi Administration’s Distrust of Markets

Macro ThematicRates Govt BondsOther

This report examines market distrust of the Takaichi administration's fiscal policies and analyzes the policy stance of BOJ member Toichiro Asada. It suggests that while fiscal concerns are weighing on JGB yields, BOJ policy remains tethered to a gradual hiking path toward a 1.50% terminal rate.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Market participants are holding the Takaichi administration partially responsible for rising JGB yields due to fiscal policy concerns.
  • 2.BOJ Policy Board member Asada indicated a willingness to support rate hikes if inflation targets are met by endogenous growth, but believes neutral rates are lower than some colleagues suggest.

Table of Contents

  • Reasons behind the Takaichi administration’s distrust of markets / Recent interviews by BOJ policy board member Asada
  • Reviewing BOJ policy board member Asada's Reuters and Sankei interviews
  • Important Disclosure Information
  • Analyst Certification
  • Disclaimer

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