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Mizuho Securities

July 8, 2026

Japan Macro Wage Trends

Macro ThematicMacro Economic IndicatorsRates CreditOther

Japan's wage growth remains resilient, with base pay trending positively and real wages sustaining growth. The outlook for 2027 negotiations is bolstered by corporate profit margin improvements.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Japan's real wage growth remained positive for six straight months as of May 2026, supported by solid base pay increases.
  • 2.Spring 2026 labor negotiations yielded a 5.01% total wage increase, marking the third consecutive year of growth above 5%.
  • 3.The outlook for spring 2027 wage negotiations remains positive, supported by potential improvements in corporate profit margins.

Table of Contents

  • Wage growth looks set to remain solid over coming months, and spring 2027 labor-management pay negotiations could help to continue the trend
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