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February 16, 2026
The Commodities Feed: US-Iran Talks
Market ReportCommoditiesConsumer StaplesEnergy
Geopolitical risk premiums persist in the oil market ahead of US-Iran talks, while agricultural prices face downward pressure from increased Indian wheat exports.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Oil prices remain supported by geopolitical risk premiums ahead of US-Iran nuclear talks in Geneva.
- 2.Potential US rollback of aluminum tariffs on derivatives is unlikely to ease physical market tightness as primary metal levies remain.
- 3.Wheat prices are under pressure following India's decision to allow controlled exports and improved crop estimates elsewhere.
Table of Contents
- Energy – Some OPEC+ members keen to increase output
- Metals – US aluminium tariff rollback talk brings little relief
- Agriculture – Wheat falls on bumper output estimates
- Author
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Authors
Warren PattersonEwa Manthey
Securities
ICE BrentLondon CocoaCBOT Wheat
Themes
Geopolitical Supply RisksOPEC+ Policy DivergenceTrade Protectionism and Tariffs
Regions
Middle EastNorth AmericaEuropeUnited StatesIranIndia
