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May 14, 2026

The Commodities Feed: Oil Market Analysis

Daily UpdateCommoditiesMacro Economic IndicatorsEnergyMaterials

The commodities market remains volatile with oil prices awaiting outcomes from US-China diplomatic talks and copper trading near record highs due to supply constraints. Protectionist measures in India, including gold tariff hikes and sugar export bans, further highlight the impact of the ongoing Iran conflict.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Oil markets are focused on a potential meeting between President Trump and President Xi to address the Iran war and energy flow disruptions.
  • 2.Copper prices are trading near record highs above $14,000/t due to extreme supply-side tightness and Chinese spot demand.
  • 3.The IEA has aggressively revised down its oil demand forecasts for 2026, while oil inventories continue to fall rapidly.

Table of Contents

  • Energy - Further pressure on oil demand
  • Metals – Copper trades near record highs
  • Agriculture – India bans sugar exports

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Authors

Warren PattersonEwa Manthey

Securities

Crude OilCopperXAUSugar

Themes

Geopolitical Disruption of Energy FlowsProtectionist Trade PolicySupply-Driven Price Volatility

Regions

Middle EastAsia PacificNorth AmericaUnited StatesChinaIndia