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May 27, 2026

The Commodities Feed Oil Falls as Optimism Builds Over US-Iran Deal

Daily UpdateCommoditiesEnergyMaterials

Oil prices have softened due to potential US-Iran diplomacy, while Aluminium has surged to a four-year high on supply constraints. Meanwhile, Russia's refinery issues and West African weather concerns are tightening diesel and cocoa markets respectively.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Oil prices are falling as market optimism grows regarding a potential US-Iran deal, despite continued closures of the Strait of Hormuz.
  • 2.Aluminium reached a four-year high on the LME ($3,700/t) driven by Middle East supply disruptions and potential output curbs in China.
  • 3.Russia is considering export curbs on diesel and jet fuel due to low refinery runs following Ukrainian strikes on infrastructure.

Table of Contents

  • Energy – Oil under pressure
  • Metals - Aluminium hits four-year high
  • Agriculture - Cocoa climbs on tight supply expectations

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Authors

Ewa MantheyWarren Patterson

Securities

CLLME AluminiumXAUCocoa Futures

Themes

Geopolitical Geopolitics Impacting SupplyTightening Energy Product Markets

Regions

Middle EastAsia PacificUnited StatesIranRussia