ING
May 22, 2026
The Commodities Feed: Iran Uncertainty and Oil Prices
Daily UpdateCommoditiesEnergyMaterials
Oil prices are experiencing high volatility due to conflicting signals from US-Iran deal negotiations, while Brazil forecasts record coffee production for the 2026/27 season.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Uncertainty regarding a US-Iran nuclear deal is driving extreme volatility in oil prices, with market focus on uranium enrichment and Strait of Hormuz tolls.
- 2.China's refined copper production increased by 3% YoY in April, supported by high sulfuric acid prices boosting smelter margins.
- 3.Brazil's 2026/27 coffee production is expected to reach record levels of 66.7m bags due to favorable weather improving yields.
Table of Contents
- Energy - Oil focus remains on US-Iran negotiations
- Metals – China’s refined copper output grows
- Agriculture – Brazil arabica coffee output estimates revised higher
- Author
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Authors
Warren PattersonEwa Manthey
Securities
ICE BrentUS Natural Gas
Themes
Geopolitical VolatilitySupply Side Resilience
Regions
North AmericaMiddle EastAsia PacificUnited StatesIranChina
