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May 14, 2026

Oil Iran and the Markets What Happens Next

Market ReportCommoditiesFXRates Govt BondsEnergy

ING is hosting a webinar on May 15, 2026, to analyze the impact of the ten-week-old Iran war on energy prices and global markets.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The Iran war has reached its tenth week, leaving energy markets in limbo with significantly disrupted traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.
  • 2.A planned meeting between Presidents Trump and Xi is viewed as a critical potential breakthrough for energy market diplomacy.
  • 3.The U.S. interest rate outlook is under scrutiny, specifically regarding the Federal Reserve's ability to hike rates and the influence of Chair Kevin Warsh.

Table of Contents

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Authors

Warren PattersonJames KnightleyChris TurnerTimothy RahillRebecca Byrne

Securities

OilNatural GasEURUSDOil Futures

Themes

Geopolitical RiskMonetary Policy UncertaintyEnergy Supply Disruption

Regions

Middle EastNorth AmericaAsia PacificIranUnited StatesChina