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May 13, 2026

Oil Iran and the Markets What Happens Next

Macro ThematicCommoditiesFXRates Govt BondsEnergyFinancials

ING is hosting a webinar to analyze the market impact of the ten-week-long Iran war on energy prices, FX, and credit. Key topics include the Strait of Hormuz blockade and the Federal Reserve's rate outlook under Kevin Warsh.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Energy markets remain in limbo ten weeks into the Iran war, with critical disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz.
  • 2.The upcoming meeting between Presidents Trump and Xi is viewed as a potential turning point for market stabilization.
  • 3.Market focus is shifting toward the Federal Reserve's rate hike potential under the leadership of Kevin Warsh.

Table of Contents

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Authors

Warren PattersonJames KnightleyChris TurnerTimothy Rahill

Securities

EURUSDOilNatural Gas

Themes

Geopolitical Energy DisruptionCentral Bank Policy Pivot

Regions

Middle EastGlobalIranUnited StatesChina