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Report published June 30, 2026

FX Daily: No Doves In Sintra – ING Market Update (30 June 2026)

ING · June 30, 2026

This report details the fading bullish momentum of the US dollar ahead of upcoming economic data and central bank communication. It also highlights the neutral stance of the ECB and concerns regarding potential currency intervention in the JPY.

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Finvaulta summarizes ING's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The dollar's bullish momentum is fading ahead of US data releases and upcoming central bank speeches.
  • 2.ECB President Lagarde's remarks in Sintra have been measured, leaving market rate hike expectations unchanged.
  • 3.USD/JPY is trading in intervention territory, with markets wary of potential Japanese authority action.

Table of Contents

  • USD: Momentum keeps fading into key data and Warsh
  • EUR: Sintra unlikely to rock the euro
  • JPY: Into the intervention zone
  • PLN: Inflation to test dovish pricing and FX resilience

Report data

Yesterday marked the opening of the ECB’s annual forum on central banking in Sintra, Portugal

MetricEstimateContext
Consumer Confidence97.5 indexUS macro forecast
JOLTS Job Openings7.25 millionsUS macro forecast
Source: ING Macro Team. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

FX Daily is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on June 30, 2026.

Part of the FX Daily series — view all 70 editions

Looking for the latest edition? ING Think fx daily french risk keeps harming ecb hawks (Oct 6, 2026)

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  4. Jun 29ING-Think-fx-daily-a-busy-week-ahead

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