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May 14, 2026

FX Daily Headlines From Beijing Can Cap USD

Daily UpdateFXMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsEnergyFinancials

Stronger-than-expected US PPI and Gulf tensions are supporting the USD, while Trump's visit to China offers potential risk-on sentiment. Political instability in the UK via a potential Labour leadership challenge adds local uncertainty to the Pound.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Hot US PPI data (1.4% MoM) is raising Fed tightening concerns, though some components like airfares may be seasonal.
  • 2.Trump's visit to China could provide conciliatory headlines and risk-on sentiment, keeping a cap on the USD's recent strength.
  • 3.UK political risk is rising as Health Secretary Wes Streeting reportedly prepares a leadership challenge against PM Keir Starmer.

Table of Contents

  • USD: Hot PPI raising some concerns
  • EUR: Short-term fair value at 1.180
  • GBP: Political headlines remain central
  • TRY: A cautious tone and a new forecast

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Authors

Francesco PesoleFrantisek TaborskyChris Turner

Securities

EURUSDEURNOKUSDTRYNVDAUK Gilts

Themes

Geopolitical Tension and DiplomacyInflationary Persistence

Regions

North AmericaAsia PacificUKUnited StatesChinaUnited Kingdom