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June 1, 2026

Early Year Slowdown But Poland Still Poised For Robust Growth In 2026

Macro ThematicMacro Economic IndicatorsOther

Poland's economic growth eased to 3.5% YoY in 1Q26 due to weather disruptions and slower wage growth, but is forecast to reach 3.4% for the full year 2026.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Poland's GDP growth slowed to 3.5% YoY in 1Q26, down from 4.1% in late 2025.
  • 2.Private consumption growth moderated due to slower wage growth (6.7% vs 8.5% previously).
  • 3.Investment is expected to rebound significantly later in the year, supported by EU funds (National Recovery Plan).

Table of Contents

  • Early-year slowdown, but Poland still poised for robust 3.4% growth in 2026
  • Economic growth lost some steam in 1Q26
  • Author
  • Disclaimer

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Authors

Adam AntoniakMichal Rubaszek

Themes

Post-Pandemic EU Fund AbsorptionModerating Labor Market DynamicsGeopolitical Impact on Consumption

Regions

EuropePoland