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May 19, 2026

Dreadful UK Jobs Report Questions Need for Rate Hikes

Market ReportMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsConsumer DiscretionaryEnergy

The latest UK jobs report shows a rise in unemployment to 5.0% and a sharp decline in wage growth to 0.6%, questioning the necessity of further Bank of England rate hikes.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The UK unemployment rate has increased to 5.0%, and payrolled employment saw a significant drop of 100,000.
  • 2.Private sector wage growth has slowed dramatically to a 0.6% three-month annualised rate, the lowest since 2015.
  • 3.While a June Bank of England rate hike remains the base case, the weak data makes the decision a 'close call'.

Table of Contents

  • Payroll employment has been particularly weak in consumer services
  • Wage growth is slowing rapidly
  • Author
  • Disclaimer

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Authors

James Smith

Securities

Bank of England Rate

Themes

Labor Market DeteriorationMonetary Policy PivotsWage-Price Spiral Moderation

Regions

EuropeUKUnited Kingdom