ING
May 19, 2026
Dreadful UK Jobs Report Questions Need for Rate Hikes
Market ReportMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsConsumer DiscretionaryEnergy
The latest UK jobs report shows a rise in unemployment to 5.0% and a sharp decline in wage growth to 0.6%, questioning the necessity of further Bank of England rate hikes.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The UK unemployment rate has increased to 5.0%, and payrolled employment saw a significant drop of 100,000.
- 2.Private sector wage growth has slowed dramatically to a 0.6% three-month annualised rate, the lowest since 2015.
- 3.While a June Bank of England rate hike remains the base case, the weak data makes the decision a 'close call'.
Table of Contents
- Payroll employment has been particularly weak in consumer services
- Wage growth is slowing rapidly
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Authors
James Smith
Securities
Bank of England Rate
Themes
Labor Market DeteriorationMonetary Policy PivotsWage-Price Spiral Moderation
Regions
EuropeUKUnited Kingdom
