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May 25, 2026

Commodities Feed: Oil Trades Lower as US-Iran Deal Noise Grows

Daily UpdateCommoditiesEnergy

Oil prices and European gas have retreated as noise grows around a possible US-Iran deal to end conflict and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Simultaneously, US producers are ramping up drilling activity, with rig counts hitting their highest level since 2025.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Oil prices have dropped below $100/bbl due to increasing speculation and headlines regarding a potential deal between the US and Iran.
  • 2.US drilling activity is seeing a significant uptick, with the oil rig count recording its largest weekly increase since early 2023.
  • 3.European natural gas prices are under pressure, falling below EUR46/MWh, while storage levels remain significantly below the five-year average.

Table of Contents

  • Energy - US drilling activity jumps
  • Author
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Authors

Warren Patterson

Securities

ICE BrentTTF Natural GasJKM

Themes

Geopolitical De-escalationUS Energy Supply Response

Regions

North AmericaMiddle EastEuropeUnited StatesIran