Goldman Sachs
July 2, 2026
USA Payroll Growth and Unemployment Update
Daily UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsOther
June nonfarm payrolls rose by 57k, missing expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.19% due to a sharp decline in labor force participation. Wage growth remained steady at 0.35% month-over-month.
Key Takeaways
- 1.June nonfarm payrolls rose by 57k, significantly below market expectations.
- 2.The unemployment rate fell to 4.19%, largely driven by a substantial 720k contraction in the labor force.
- 3.Labor force participation among workers aged 25-34 saw its largest one-month drop since the pandemic.
Table of Contents
- BOTTOM LINE
- US MAP
- KEY NUMBERS
- MAIN POINTS
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Authors
Jan HatziusAlec PhillipsDavid MericleRonnie WalkerManuel AbecasisElsie PengPierfrancesco MeiJessica Rindels
Themes
Labor Force Participation DeclineLabor Market Slack
Regions
North AmericaUnited States
