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Goldman Sachs

July 2, 2026

USA Payroll Growth and Unemployment Update

Daily UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsOther

June nonfarm payrolls rose by 57k, missing expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.19% due to a sharp decline in labor force participation. Wage growth remained steady at 0.35% month-over-month.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.June nonfarm payrolls rose by 57k, significantly below market expectations.
  • 2.The unemployment rate fell to 4.19%, largely driven by a substantial 720k contraction in the labor force.
  • 3.Labor force participation among workers aged 25-34 saw its largest one-month drop since the pandemic.

Table of Contents

  • BOTTOM LINE
  • US MAP
  • KEY NUMBERS
  • MAIN POINTS

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Authors

Jan HatziusAlec PhillipsDavid MericleRonnie WalkerManuel AbecasisElsie PengPierfrancesco MeiJessica Rindels

Themes

Labor Force Participation DeclineLabor Market Slack

Regions

North AmericaUnited States