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Goldman Sachs

June 14, 2026

Japan Banks: Refocusing on New Midterm Plan ROE Targets and Potential P/B Upside

Sector ReportEquitiesRates Govt BondsFinancials

Japanese banks are upgrading their medium-term ROE targets to over 12% to align with global peers, supported by policy rate hike tailwinds and business model expansion. This pivot is expected to catalyze a re-rating of P/B multiples across the sector.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Japanese banks are targeting 8-25% 3-year net profit CAGRs in updated midterm plans, driven by rising interest rates and business expansion.
  • 2.ROE targets for major Japanese banks have increased significantly, with megabanks now targeting over 12% and some regional banks aiming for mid-teens.
  • 3.Higher ROE targets are expected to unlock higher P/B multiples for Japanese bank stocks, as valuation is structurally linked to ROE.

Table of Contents

  • Japan Banks: Refocusing on new midterm plan ROE targets, potential P/B upside
  • Low-to-mid 10% handle ROE levels in sight
  • Disclosure Appendix
  • Reg AC
  • GS Factor Profile
  • M&A Rank
  • Quantum
  • Disclosures
  • Regulatory disclosures
  • Additional disclosures required under the laws and regulations of jurisdictions other than the United States
  • Ratings, coverage universe and related definitions
  • Coverage Universe
  • Global product; distributing entities
  • General disclosures

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