Goldman Sachs
June 14, 2026
Japan Banks: Refocusing on New Midterm Plan ROE Targets and Potential P/B Upside
Sector ReportEquitiesRates Govt BondsFinancials
Japanese banks are upgrading their medium-term ROE targets to over 12% to align with global peers, supported by policy rate hike tailwinds and business model expansion. This pivot is expected to catalyze a re-rating of P/B multiples across the sector.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Japanese banks are targeting 8-25% 3-year net profit CAGRs in updated midterm plans, driven by rising interest rates and business expansion.
- 2.ROE targets for major Japanese banks have increased significantly, with megabanks now targeting over 12% and some regional banks aiming for mid-teens.
- 3.Higher ROE targets are expected to unlock higher P/B multiples for Japanese bank stocks, as valuation is structurally linked to ROE.
Table of Contents
- Japan Banks: Refocusing on new midterm plan ROE targets, potential P/B upside
- Low-to-mid 10% handle ROE levels in sight
- Disclosure Appendix
- Reg AC
- GS Factor Profile
- M&A Rank
- Quantum
- Disclosures
- Regulatory disclosures
- Additional disclosures required under the laws and regulations of jurisdictions other than the United States
- Ratings, coverage universe and related definitions
- Coverage Universe
- Global product; distributing entities
- General disclosures
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Authors
Makoto KurodaHibiki Takuma
Securities
MUFGSMFG8411.T
Themes
ROE ImprovementInterest Rate NormalizationP/B Multiple Expansion
Regions
Asia PacificJapan
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