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Goldman Sachs

June 15, 2026

Americas Retail: Takeaways from Management, Freight, and Inflation

Sector ReportEquitiesConsumer Discretionary

This report provides key takeaways from management meetings with various US retailers and analyzes shifting consumer sentiment towards value-oriented platforms. It also examines the impact of fuel and freight costs on retail margins.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Retailers report varied impacts from freight and fuel costs, with companies like Walmart and Five Below managing headwinds through operational efficiencies and tariff offsets.
  • 2.Chewy's Q1 results indicate a cautious consumer, with softening trends in pet food/supplies and lowered FY26 guidance.
  • 3.Temu's market position is weakening, with declining Net Promoter Scores and future purchase intent compared to peers like Dollar Tree and Five Below.

Table of Contents

  • Takeaways from IR/management meetings
  • Company commentary on freight and inflation
  • Analyzing sentiment and value between FIVE, DLTR, and Temu
  • Bath & Body Works channel check
  • Ulta Beauty channel check
  • DKS estimate update
  • Valuation & Risks
  • Chewy read throughs

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