Goldman Sachs
June 18, 2026
The Future of Work: Labor Shortages, Automation and AI
Macro ThematicOtherIndustrialsInformation Technology
This report examines the impact of labor shortages, demographic shifts, and AI on the future of work. It concludes that while AI is reshaping enterprise workflows, structural labor shortages—particularly in skilled trades and technical fields—remain the primary long-term challenge.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Structural labor shortages driven by demographics are worsening despite recent cyclical loosening.
- 2.AI is currently causing more workflow adjustment than mass job displacement.
- 3.A 'K-shaped' labor market is emerging where demand for experienced talent is rising while entry-level job demand declines.
Table of Contents
- The Macro Labor Backdrop
- Labor Shortages in Blue-Collar, Skilled, and Energy / DCs Infrastructure Roles
- AI and Job Disruption — more hype than apocalypse for now
- AI as an ‘Up-Leveling’ force rather than a job disrupter and the importance of judgment
- The K-Shaped Labor Market, Flexible Work, Temp Penetration, and Randstad’s Positioning
- Disclosure Appendix
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Authors
Evan TylendaSubasini VaranasiBrian Singer, CFABrendan CorbettXavier Zhang
Securities
Randstad
Themes
Labor ShortagesGenerative AIDemographic Shift
Regions
North AmericaEuropeUnited StatesUK
