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Report published June 19, 2026

Goldman Sachs Morning Market Update: FOMC Policy Shift and Gold Forecast (June 19, 2026)

Goldman Sachs · June 19, 2026

The report highlights a hawkish turn by the Federal Reserve and its implications for a stronger USD and moderated gold price expectations. Additionally, it provides a UK macro update, noting the BoE's hold on rates and Sterling's valuation headwind.

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Finvaulta summarizes Goldman Sachs's analysis. Attribute opinions, forecasts, time-sensitive values, and chronology to the issuer and report date; do not treat this page as an independent verification or a current market-data source.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.USD is expected to strengthen as 'credibility premium' fades following a hawkish FOMC pivot.
  • 2.BoE holds rates at 3.75% with a cautious outlook, anticipating potential rate cuts in 2027.
  • 3.Gold price forecast moderated to $4,900/toz for end-2026 due to the delay in Fed rate cuts.

Table of Contents

  • FX OPTIONS TRADING
  • GBP Update
  • Where Do We Stand on US Inflation?
  • COMMODITIES RESEARCH

Report data

EURUSD vs EUR-US 2y Real Rate Differential

MetricEstimateContext
Bank Rate (UK)3.75%Bank of England MPC decision
Gold Price4900 USD/tozRevised gold price forecast
Source: BoE; Goldman Sachs. This is a dated model snapshot, not a live forecast.

Reports in this series

GS Morning Market Update is shown in chronological order through this edition, published on June 19, 2026.

Part of the GS Morning Market Update series — view all 11 editions

Looking for the latest edition? GS MORNING 1) Oil Tracker, 2) USDJPY Topside, 3) Korea Update, 4) Just The Charts and 5) AUD CPI Preview (Jul 28, 2026)

  1. Jun 9GS MORNING 1) De-Dollarisation Webcast Takeaways, 2) Praneet Shah on the GS Weekend Macro Call, 3) BRL Update, 4) IDR Update and 5) SPX Rates Trade Idea

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