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Goldman Sachs

July 1, 2026

Chile Weak Growth Extended Through May

Macro ThematicMacro Economic IndicatorsEnergyIndustrials

Chile's May economic activity fell by 0.9% yoy, missing expectations and highlighting broad economic weakness. The ongoing contraction supports a dovish outlook for the country's monetary policy.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Chile's monthly economic activity indicator (Imacec) declined 0.9% yoy in May, underperforming consensus expectations of -0.4%.
  • 2.Economic weakness is broad-based, with mining activity serving as a primary drag while non-mining sectors show underwhelming growth.
  • 3.The combination of a soft start to 2026 and labor market weakness increases the risks for a more dovish monetary policy stance.

Table of Contents

  • Key Numbers (May)
  • Details
  • Disappointing Growth So Far in 2026
  • We Do Not Anticipate Significant Demand Side Pressures on Inflation
  • Disclosure Appendix

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