Deutsche Bank
May 13, 2026
Return Decomposition: WWD ATI HWM BWXT Lead EPS Revisions
Sector ReportEquitiesIndustrials
This Deutsche Bank update analyzes the year-to-date return decomposition for Aerospace & Defense stocks, focusing on consensus EPS revisions versus multiple expansion.
Key Takeaways
- 1.WWD, ATI, and HWM are leading the coverage universe in positive consensus FY2026E EPS revisions, with WWD at +17%.
- 2.There is a divergence in market confidence between Original Equipment (OE) and aftermarket suppliers; OE is seeing multiple expansion while aftermarket is seeing contraction.
- 3.Niche defense companies like BWXT, CW, and ESE are performing better than major defense primes in terms of EPS revisions.
Table of Contents
- Bottom Line
- Aerospace revision trends remain positive
- OE sees positive return attribution from multiple expansion; aftermarket negative
- Defense trends
- Appendix 1
- Important Disclosures
- Analyst Certification
- Equity Rating and Dispersion Key
- Additional Information
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Authors
Scott DeuschleSam Desai, CFA
Securities
WWDATIBWXTHWMBA
Themes
Price Return Decomposition (EPS Revisions vs. Multiple Expansion)OE vs. Aftermarket DivergenceDefense Prime Derating
Regions
North AmericaUnited States
