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Deutsche Bank

May 13, 2026

Return Decomposition: WWD ATI HWM BWXT Lead EPS Revisions

Sector ReportEquitiesIndustrials

This Deutsche Bank update analyzes the year-to-date return decomposition for Aerospace & Defense stocks, focusing on consensus EPS revisions versus multiple expansion.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.WWD, ATI, and HWM are leading the coverage universe in positive consensus FY2026E EPS revisions, with WWD at +17%.
  • 2.There is a divergence in market confidence between Original Equipment (OE) and aftermarket suppliers; OE is seeing multiple expansion while aftermarket is seeing contraction.
  • 3.Niche defense companies like BWXT, CW, and ESE are performing better than major defense primes in terms of EPS revisions.

Table of Contents

  • Bottom Line
  • Aerospace revision trends remain positive
  • OE sees positive return attribution from multiple expansion; aftermarket negative
  • Defense trends
  • Appendix 1
  • Important Disclosures
  • Analyst Certification
  • Equity Rating and Dispersion Key
  • Additional Information

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Authors

Scott DeuschleSam Desai, CFA

Securities

WWDATIBWXTHWMBA

Themes

Price Return Decomposition (EPS Revisions vs. Multiple Expansion)OE vs. Aftermarket DivergenceDefense Prime Derating

Regions

North AmericaUnited States