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Deutsche Bank

June 12, 2026

FedEx Investment Update

Single Stock ReportEquitiesIndustrials

Deutsche Bank maintains a Buy rating on FedEx (FDX), anticipating a strong Q4 earnings beat and a significant multi-year EPS growth trajectory driven by share buybacks and intrinsic valuation upside.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Expectation of a strong Q4 earnings beat and EPS growth through 2029.
  • 2.Anticipated restart of share buybacks supported by Freight spin-out cash dividend.
  • 3.FedEx remains intrinsically mispriced despite recent stock re-rating.

Table of Contents

  • Valuation & Risks
  • Explaining the relative lagging performance.
  • So where should the market focus?
  • FOCUS 1: A solid earnings outlook (with plenty opportunity to surpass expectations), near-term.
  • FOCUS 2: Buybacks, near/medium-term.
  • FOCUS 3: Value, longer-term.
  • Appendix 1

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Authors

Richa HarnainMegan Makini

Securities

FDX.NUnited Parcel Service (UPS)

Themes

Earnings BeatShare RepurchasesIntrinsically Mispriced

Regions

North AmericaUnited States