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May 27, 2026

Fresh Records for Equities; Oil Up After Strikes but Talks Proceed

Daily UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsCommoditiesInformation TechnologyEnergy

US equities hit fresh record highs while oil prices spiked to $99.6/bbl following US strikes in Iran. Markets are currently balancing geopolitical risks against a Fed that remains on hold but vigilant about persistent inflation.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.US equities reached new record highs led by tech, while Brent crude climbed near $100/bbl following US strikes on Iranian military positions.
  • 2.The Fed outlook faces three primary scenarios based on the Iran conflict: a peace deal reducing hike risks, a 'muddle through' increasing 2026 hike risks, or re-intensification creating two-sided risks.
  • 3.South Korea's macro environment is firming faster than expected, making a July rate hike likely despite upcoming elections.

Table of Contents

  • Fresh records for equities; oil up after strikes but talks proceed
  • The day ahead
  • AMERICAS
  • EUROPE
  • ASIA
  • AUSTRALIA
  • NEW ZEALAND
  • Analyst Certification
  • Important Disclosures
  • Additional Information
  • International Production Locations

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Authors

Phil OdonaghoeMatt Luzzetti

Securities

SPXCCMPBrent CrudeUS10Y

Themes

Geopolitical VolatilityMonetary Policy Neutrality vs. Hawk RisksInflation Persistence

Regions

North AmericaAsia PacificEuropeUnited StatesSouth KoreaNew Zealand