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Deutsche Bank

June 4, 2026

Early Morning Reid

Daily UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsCommoditiesInformation TechnologyEnergy

Markets retreated as strong US economic data boosted Fed rate hike expectations to 81% while Broadcom's weak AI forecast weighed on tech. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East persist despite reports of a conditional Israel-Lebanon ceasefire.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Middle East tensions remain high despite conditional ceasefire news, with investors increasingly skeptical of a quick return to normal shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz.
  • 2.Strong US economic data, including ISM services and ADP payrolls, has driven market expectations of a Fed rate hike by December to 81%.
  • 3.Equities are facing pressure from the technology sector following a disappointing AI chip revenue forecast from Broadcom, which fell over 13%.

Table of Contents

  • Key Market Data
  • Other Market Data
  • Key Economic Data
  • Topical Deutsche Bank publications
  • Appendix 1
  • Analyst Certification
  • Important Disclosures
  • Additional Information
  • International Production Locations

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Authors

Henry AllenJim ReidPeter SidorovAsim Kaul

Securities

AVGOS&P 500BTCBrent Crude

Themes

AI Optimism vs. Geopolitical RealityMonetary Policy Hawkishness

Regions

North AmericaEuropeMiddle EastUnited StatesIranIsrael