Deutsche Bank
June 4, 2026
Early Morning Reid
Daily UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsCommoditiesInformation TechnologyEnergy
Markets retreated as strong US economic data boosted Fed rate hike expectations to 81% while Broadcom's weak AI forecast weighed on tech. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East persist despite reports of a conditional Israel-Lebanon ceasefire.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Middle East tensions remain high despite conditional ceasefire news, with investors increasingly skeptical of a quick return to normal shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz.
- 2.Strong US economic data, including ISM services and ADP payrolls, has driven market expectations of a Fed rate hike by December to 81%.
- 3.Equities are facing pressure from the technology sector following a disappointing AI chip revenue forecast from Broadcom, which fell over 13%.
Table of Contents
- Key Market Data
- Other Market Data
- Key Economic Data
- Topical Deutsche Bank publications
- Appendix 1
- Analyst Certification
- Important Disclosures
- Additional Information
- International Production Locations
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Authors
Henry AllenJim ReidPeter SidorovAsim Kaul
Securities
AVGOS&P 500BTCBrent Crude
Themes
AI Optimism vs. Geopolitical RealityMonetary Policy Hawkishness
Regions
North AmericaEuropeMiddle EastUnited StatesIranIsrael