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Deutsche Bank

May 29, 2026

Early Morning Reid

Daily UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsCommoditiesEnergyInformation Technology

Global markets rallied as oil prices tumbled toward monthly lows on news of a potential US-Iran ceasefire and a softer-than-expected US PCE inflation print. The S&P 500 hit a new record while 10-year Treasury yields fell for a sixth straight day.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Global markets rallied significantly on news of a potential 60-day ceasefire extension between the US and Iran that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
  • 2.Brent crude oil prices fell to a one-month low, declining over 18% in May, which is the largest monthly drop since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic in March 2020.
  • 3.Softer-than-expected US PCE inflation data (Core PCE +0.2% vs. +0.3% exp) helped dial back expectations for immediate Federal Reserve rate hikes.

Table of Contents

  • Key Market Data
  • Other Market Data
  • Key Economic Data
  • Topical Deutsche Bank publications
  • Analyst Certification
  • Important Disclosures
  • Additional Information
  • International Production Locations

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Authors

Henry AllenJim ReidPeter Sidorov, CFAAsim Kaul

Securities

SPXBrent Crude Oil10yr TreasuryNKYEURUSD

Themes

Stagflation Risk MitigationGeopolitical De-escalationCentral Bank Pivot Sentiment

Regions

North AmericaMiddle EastEuropeUnited StatesIranJapan