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Deutsche Bank

May 12, 2026

Early Morning Reid

Daily UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsCommoditiesInformation TechnologyEnergy

Global markets are reacting to heightened US-Iran tensions and a proposed AI profit tax in South Korea, while investors await a crucial US CPI print. Yields are trending higher as oil prices surge and central banks signal continued concern over sticky inflation.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are escalating as President Trump casts doubt on the US-Iran ceasefire, driving Brent crude oil prices significantly higher.
  • 2.South Korean tech stocks, particularly Samsung, faced a sharp sell-off following government proposals for a 'citizen dividend' funded by AI industry profits.
  • 3.UK political instability is rising as Prime Minister Keir Starmer faces internal party pressure to resign following local election losses and a fracturing Cabinet.

Table of Contents

  • Key Market Data
  • Other Market Data
  • Key Economic Data
  • Topical Deutsche Bank publications
  • Appendix 1
  • Analyst Certification
  • Important Disclosures
  • Additional Information
  • International Production Locations

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Authors

Jim ReidPeter SidorovHenry AllenAsim Kaul

Securities

S&P 500KOSPISamsung10yr TreasuryBrent Crude Oil

Themes

Geopolitical Escalation in Middle EastAI Regulation and TaxationSticky Global Inflation

Regions

North AmericaAsia PacificEuropeUnited StatesSouth KoreaUnited Kingdom