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Deutsche Bank

June 3, 2026

Daily Fibre European Telecommunications Update

Daily UpdateEquitiesMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsCommunication Services

Deutsche Bank updates its telecom outlook for 2026, highlighting regulatory hurdles in the French SFR deal and intensifying 5G FWA competition in the UK. The report also notes a macro shift toward higher yields and inflation, which presents headwinds for leveraged tower assets.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Discussions on the SFR acquisition by the Orange-led consortium are shifting toward employee retention, with regulatory reviews potentially lasting 18 months.
  • 2.Deutsche Bank global GDP growth expectations for 2026 have been trimmed to 3.0%, while CPI forecasts have risen to 3.8%.
  • 3.The UK telecommunications market is entering a period of intense competition as Vodafone/Three (VodafoneThree) aggressive 5G FWA pricing targets fixed network providers like BT Openreach.

Table of Contents

  • KEY EVENTS THIS WEEK
  • FRENCH TELCOS / ORANGE
  • EU TEL
  • TELENOR
  • UK TEL
  • SES

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Authors

Robert Grindle, Ph.D.John KaridisKeval Khiroya, CFARoshan Ranjit, CFA

Securities

BT/AORADTVODTEL.OLSES

Themes

Consolidation and M&A Regulatory Hurdles5G Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) as DisruptorMacroeconomic Headwinds and Interest Rate Sensitivity

Regions

EuropeAsia PacificFranceUnited KingdomBangladesh